live
./round-05

Miami Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Miami, USA · 8 May 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:56 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Long Run Pace 20%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Driver Rating 5%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 2%
Win Rate 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P6
9%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P1
8%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 81 · P4
8%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 79 · P2
7%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 58 · P11
7%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 63 · P8
7%
07
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 81 · P3
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 67 · P11
6%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 40 · P7
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P10
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P19
4%
12
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 21 · P15
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 48 · P17
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 23 · P9
4%
15
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 24 · P14
4%
16
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P13
4%
17
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 44 · P5
3%
18
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P16
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 35 · P18
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%