live
./round-06

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 22 May 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:57 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 15%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Driver Rating 10%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Win Rate 8%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Tyre Degradation 1%
Luck Factor 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P2
9%
02
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 81 · P5
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 80 · P1
9%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P6
8%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 55 · P4
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 80 · P3
6%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 50 · P11
6%
08
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 39 · P10
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P17
5%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 57 · P9
4%
11
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P16
4%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 46 · P7
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 43 · P18
4%
14
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 54 · P11
4%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 17 · P8
4%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 26 · P12
4%
17
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P13
4%
18
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P14
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%