live
./round-07

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 29 May 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:59 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Sergio Perez
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 18%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Win Rate 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 82 · P4
11%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P8
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 84 · P1
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 61 · P6
8%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 58 · P5
7%
06
PER
Sergio Perez ✓ actual winner
Car 81 · P3
7%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P10
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 67 · P7
5%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 80 · P2
5%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 48 · P15
5%
11
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P11
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P16
4%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 43 · P11
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P17
4%
15
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 23 · P14
3%
16
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 54 · P13
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 20 · P12
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P18
3%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 26 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%