live
./round-09

Canadian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Montréal, Canada · 19 June 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:02 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 17%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 81 · P1
13%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P4
9%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 57 · P8
7%
04
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P9
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 68 · P3
7%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P2
7%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 58 · P7
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P12
6%
09
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P13
4%
10
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P6
4%
11
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 80 · P14
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 37 · P11
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 14 · P5
4%
14
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P10
4%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 35 · P15
3%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 52 · P11
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P17
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 25 · P19
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%