live
./round-10

British Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Silverstone, UK · 3 July 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:03 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Carlos Sainz
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Win Rate 7%
Long Run Pace 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 81 · P2
10%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P5
9%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 59 · P8
9%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz ✓ actual winner
Car 69 · P1
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 81 · P3
7%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P7
6%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 54 · P6
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 58 · P14
5%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 52 · P11
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 34 · P11
5%
11
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P4
5%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P13
4%
13
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P9
4%
14
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P18
4%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 23 · P12
3%
16
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P10
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 38 · P15
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 14 · P16
3%
19
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P19
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%