live
./round-11

Austrian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spielberg, Austria · 10 July 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:04 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 20%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 81 · P1
14%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P9
8%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P12
7%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 58 · P4
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 69 · P3
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 81 · P2
6%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 57 · P5
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P8
5%
09
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P14
5%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P15
5%
11
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 51 · P11
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 34 · P10
4%
13
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P7
4%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 37 · P11
4%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 24 · P16
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P13
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 14 · P6
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P18
2%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%