live
./round-13

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 31 July 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:06 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 11%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Win Rate 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 91 · P10
12%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P4
8%
03
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P5
7%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P7
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 81 · P2
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 60 · P1
6%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P3
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P6
6%
09
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 57 · P9
6%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P11
5%
11
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 46 · P8
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P13
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P12
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P18
3%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 44 · P16
3%
16
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 39 · P14
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 25 · P11
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 26 · P15
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 31 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%