live
./round-14

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 28 August 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:07 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Win Rate 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 82 · P1
12%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P7
8%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P4
7%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 59 · P8
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 69 · P2
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P3
6%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P6
6%
08
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P10
6%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 58 · P5
6%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P11
4%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P13
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 37 · P9
4%
13
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P14
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 33 · P11
4%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 15 · P17
3%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 27 · P12
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 22 · P18
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P16
3%
19
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 51 · P19
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%