live
./round-15

Dutch Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Zandvoort, Netherlands · 4 September 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:09 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 19%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 91 · P1
12%
02
RUS
George Russell
Car 61 · P6
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P4
8%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P7
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P2
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 81 · P3
7%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P5
7%
08
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 38 · P8
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 24 · P10
5%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P11
5%
11
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P12
5%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 43 · P14
4%
13
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 56 · P16
4%
14
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 45 · P15
3%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 23 · P13
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 17 · P17
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 24 · P9
3%
18
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P11
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%