live
./round-16

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 11 September 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:10 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 11%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Luck Factor 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 7%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P2
13%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P5
8%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 70 · P3
8%
04
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 58 · P11
7%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 61 · P6
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P1
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P7
7%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P4
6%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 60 · P10
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 26 · P17
5%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 55 · P8
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 34 · P9
4%
13
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P19
4%
14
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 15 · P18
3%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 23 · P14
3%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 26 · P13
3%
17
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 51 · P11
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P15
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%