live
./round-17

Singapore Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Singapore, Singapore · 2 October 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:12 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Sergio Perez
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Luck Factor 11%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Driver Rating 10%
Reliability 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Win Rate 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
Long Run Pace 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 84 · P8
10%
02
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 67 · P5
9%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P3
9%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 79 · P4
8%
05
PER
Sergio Perez ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P2
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 67 · P11
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 59 · P6
6%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P1
6%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P11
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 39 · P7
4%
11
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 21 · P10
4%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P17
4%
13
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 19 · P14
4%
14
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P9
3%
15
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 22 · P12
3%
16
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 47 · P18
3%
17
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 43 · P15
3%
18
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 54 · P16
2%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%