live
./round-21

São Paulo Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sao Paulo, Brazil · 13 November 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:18 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
George Russell
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 17%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 88 · P2
12%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P8
10%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P9
9%
04
RUS
George Russell ✓ actual winner
Car 59 · P3
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P10
6%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 59 · P4
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 74 · P5
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P7
6%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 48 · P6
5%
10
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 19 · P1
5%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 51 · P13
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 28 · P11
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 20 · P14
4%
14
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 46 · P17
3%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 51 · P11
3%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P16
3%
17
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P15
2%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 32 · P18
2%
19
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 32 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%