live
./round-22

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Abu Dhabi, UAE · 20 November 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:19 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 88 · P1
11%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P7
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P5
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P3
7%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 62 · P6
7%
06
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 48 · P8
7%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P2
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P4
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P11
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 27 · P16
4%
11
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 31 · P12
4%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 50 · P10
4%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 45 · P17
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 30 · P11
4%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P14
4%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 20 · P13
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 49 · P18
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 19 · P15
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 30 · P19
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%