live
./round-12

French Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Le Castellet, France · 24 July 2022

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:03 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 17%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 6%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 91 · P2
14%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P1
8%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 81 · P9
7%
04
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P7
6%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P5
6%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P4
6%
07
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 57 · P11
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P15
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P11
4%
10
RUS
George Russell
Car 59 · P6
4%
11
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P3
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 45 · P14
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 19 · P10
4%
14
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 40 · P18
4%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P16
4%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 29 · P8
4%
17
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 33 · P19
3%
18
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 28 · P17
3%
19
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 47 · P12
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%