live
./round-01

Australian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Melbourne, Australia · 17 March 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:59 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Valtteri Bottas
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P1
12%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 56 · P4
10%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P2
9%
04
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 91 · P3
7%
05
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 33 · P10
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 77 · P5
6%
07
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 45 · P9
5%
08
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 41 · P12
4%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P15
4%
10
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 27 · P14
4%
11
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P8
4%
12
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P13
4%
13
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 54 · P17
4%
14
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 49 · P11
4%
15
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 14 · P6
4%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 62 · P16
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 29 · P11
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 25 · P7
3%
19
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P18
3%
20
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 59 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%