live
./round-03

Chinese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Shanghai, China · 14 April 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:02 PM

predicted
Valtteri Bottas
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✗ INCORRECT
./why BOT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 20%
Tyre Degradation 10%
Reliability 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Luck Factor 3%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 95 · P1
12%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P2
11%
03
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 90 · P3
10%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 58 · P5
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 60 · P4
8%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 55 · P6
6%
07
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 36 · P8
5%
08
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 46 · P12
4%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 32 · P11
4%
10
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 32 · P11
4%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 16 · P15
4%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 44 · P7
4%
13
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 32 · P13
4%
14
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 51 · P17
4%
15
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P16
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P9
3%
17
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P14
3%
18
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 20 · P10
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%