live
./round-04

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Baku, Azerbaijan · 28 April 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:04 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Valtteri Bottas
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 14%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P2
12%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas ✓ actual winner
Car 85 · P1
8%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 58 · P4
8%
04
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 91 · P3
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P9
7%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 33 · P5
6%
07
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 41 · P11
5%
08
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 28 · P6
5%
09
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 45 · P18
5%
10
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 26 · P12
4%
11
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 51 · P10
4%
12
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P7
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 24 · P13
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 58 · P19
3%
15
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P8
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P16
3%
17
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 56 · P17
3%
18
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 47 · P11
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 14 · P14
2%
20
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 30 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%