live
./round-05

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 12 May 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:05 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 29%
Long Run Pace 13%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Quali vs Teammate 4%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P2
11%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 91 · P3
10%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 85 · P1
9%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 63 · P4
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 70 · P5
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 52 · P10
5%
07
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 40 · P9
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 59 · P6
5%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 34 · P11
4%
10
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P8
4%
11
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 48 · P13
4%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 28 · P14
4%
13
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 48 · P12
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P17
3%
15
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 28 · P7
3%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 16 · P16
3%
17
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P11
3%
18
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P18
3%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 29 · P15
3%
20
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 55 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%