live
./round-06

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 26 May 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:06 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 18%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 5%
Quali vs Teammate 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
14%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 87 · P2
9%
03
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 91 · P4
7%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 77 · P15
6%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 61 · P3
6%
06
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 45 · P13
6%
07
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 43 · P10
5%
08
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 46 · P7
5%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 53 · P9
4%
10
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P11
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 53 · P5
4%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 35 · P16
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 28 · P6
4%
14
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 30 · P8
4%
15
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P18
4%
16
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P14
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 33 · P11
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 28 · P17
3%
19
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 55 · P19
3%
20
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 17 · P12
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%