live
./round-11

German Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Hockenheim, Germany · 28 July 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:13 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 13%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Adj. Grid Position 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P1
14%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 64 · P2
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P10
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P3
7%
05
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 36 · P8
6%
06
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 47 · P5
5%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 40 · P7
5%
08
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 47 · P12
4%
09
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 90 · P19
4%
10
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 37 · P13
4%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 31 · P16
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 66 · P4
4%
13
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 40 · P9
4%
14
RUS
George Russell
Car 35 · P17
4%
15
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 26 · P6
3%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 24 · P14
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 22 · P11
3%
18
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 51 · P18
3%
19
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 46 · P15
3%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 23 · P11
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%