live
./round-12

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 4 August 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:15 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P3
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 70 · P1
8%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 91 · P2
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 75 · P4
7%
05
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 91 · P5
7%
06
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 49 · P10
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 55 · P8
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 62 · P6
5%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 42 · P11
5%
10
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 46 · P12
5%
11
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P7
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 38 · P11
4%
13
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P15
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 27 · P18
4%
15
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 34 · P9
3%
16
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P13
3%
17
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 35 · P16
3%
18
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 53 · P17
3%
19
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 56 · P19
3%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 28 · P14
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%