live
./round-13

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 1 September 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:16 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 12%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P3
11%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 90 · P2
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 72 · P1
9%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 63 · P5
8%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 95 · P4
7%
06
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 47 · P8
6%
07
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 38 · P7
5%
08
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 28 · P13
4%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 34 · P9
4%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 63 · P15
4%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 22 · P12
4%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 46 · P6
4%
13
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P16
4%
14
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 49 · P19
3%
15
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 38 · P11
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 30 · P18
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 20 · P14
3%
18
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 36 · P17
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 24 · P11
2%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 21 · P10
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%