live
./round-14

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 8 September 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:21 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 30%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 9%
Long Run Pace 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 3%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P2
9%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 75 · P1
9%
03
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 90 · P4
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P3
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 62 · P19
6%
06
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 45 · P5
5%
07
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 22 · P9
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 38 · P7
5%
09
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 37 · P12
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 63 · P14
5%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 29 · P8
5%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 38 · P6
4%
13
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 46 · P10
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 18 · P11
4%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 21 · P11
3%
16
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 34 · P16
3%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 30 · P17
3%
18
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 39 · P13
3%
19
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 49 · P18
3%
20
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 24 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%