live
./round-16

Russian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sochi, Russia · 29 September 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:23 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 17%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P2
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 66 · P4
9%
03
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 93 · P3
9%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 83 · P1
8%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 88 · P5
8%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 38 · P11
5%
07
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 38 · P7
5%
08
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 38 · P18
4%
09
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 47 · P15
4%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 42 · P10
4%
11
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P12
4%
12
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 27 · P13
4%
13
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 60 · P17
4%
14
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P16
4%
15
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P8
4%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 23 · P14
3%
17
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 26 · P9
3%
18
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 38 · P19
3%
19
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 47 · P6
3%
20
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 60 · P11
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%