live
./round-17

Japanese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Suzuka, Japan · 13 October 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:25 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Valtteri Bottas
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 29%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Long Run Pace 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P4
10%
02
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 41 · P6
10%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas ✓ actual winner
Car 90 · P3
8%
04
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 91 · P1
8%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 70 · P5
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 77 · P2
6%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 63 · P9
6%
08
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 25 · P11
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 25 · P11
4%
10
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 49 · P8
4%
11
RUS
George Russell
Car 45 · P17
4%
12
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 55 · P7
4%
13
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 34 · P16
3%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 37 · P14
3%
15
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 51 · P15
3%
16
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 49 · P12
3%
17
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 44 · P13
3%
18
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 53 · P19
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 32 · P10
3%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 27 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%