live
./round-18

Mexican Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Mexico City, Mexico · 27 October 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:26 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P4
11%
02
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P6
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P2
8%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 62 · P1
7%
05
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 90 · P3
7%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 63 · P10
6%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 40 · P8
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 37 · P7
5%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 29 · P5
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 34 · P11
4%
11
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 36 · P9
4%
12
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 46 · P13
4%
13
RUS
George Russell
Car 30 · P18
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 22 · P15
4%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 20 · P16
4%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 38 · P11
3%
17
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 46 · P12
3%
18
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 20 · P14
3%
19
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 48 · P19
3%
20
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 23 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%