live
./round-19

United States Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Austin, USA · 3 November 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:28 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Valtteri Bottas
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Long Run Pace 13%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 6%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P5
11%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 82 · P4
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas ✓ actual winner
Car 87 · P1
9%
04
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 92 · P2
9%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 64 · P3
8%
06
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 36 · P6
5%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 50 · P10
4%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 45 · P7
4%
09
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 51 · P8
4%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 35 · P11
4%
11
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 36 · P18
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 19 · P13
4%
13
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 34 · P12
4%
14
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 45 · P16
4%
15
RUS
George Russell
Car 50 · P17
4%
16
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 37 · P9
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P15
3%
18
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 54 · P19
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 23 · P11
2%
20
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 20 · P14
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%