live
./round-21

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Abu Dhabi, UAE · 1 December 2019

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:44:31 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Luck Factor 6%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Long Run Pace 6%
Win Rate 6%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
10%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P4
9%
03
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 89 · P5
8%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 67 · P3
7%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 87 · P2
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 37 · P11
6%
07
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 36 · P6
5%
08
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 46 · P17
5%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 48 · P9
4%
10
KVY
Daniil Kvyat
Car 36 · P13
4%
11
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 36 · P10
4%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 40 · P8
4%
13
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 53 · P7
4%
14
RUS
George Russell
Car 45 · P18
4%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 51 · P11
3%
16
KUB
Robert Kubica
Car 48 · P19
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 28 · P16
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 19 · P12
3%
19
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 22 · P15
3%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 23 · P14
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%