live
./round-01

Australian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Melbourne, Australia · 8 March 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:07 PM

predicted
George Russell
→
actual winner
George Russell
✓ CORRECT
./why RUS
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 21%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 6%
Luck Factor 4%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Tyre Degradation 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
RUS
George Russell ✓ actual winner
Car 90 · P1
10%
02
ANT
Kimi Antonelli
Car 98 · P2
10%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 91 · P4
9%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 93 · P7
8%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 84 · P6
8%
06
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 80 · P5
6%
07
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 65 · P3
6%
08
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P9
5%
09
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 29 · P11
5%
10
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 24 · P10
5%
11
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 48 · P8
5%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 33 · P12
4%
13
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 37 · P11
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 45 · P13
4%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 26 · P14
3%
16
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 39 · P15
3%
17
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 22 · P18
2%
18
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P16
2%
19
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 30 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%