live
./round-13

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 6 September 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 9/5/2026, 4:07:30 PM

predicted
Kimi Antonelli
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✓ CORRECT
./why ANT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 16%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P7
10%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 82 · P9
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 88 · P4
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 88 · P5
8%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 100 · P2
7%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 48 · P1
7%
07
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 82 · P3
7%
08
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 73 · P6
5%
09
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P10
5%
10
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 55 · P13
5%
11
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 41 · P11
4%
12
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 48 · P8
4%
13
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 27 · P11
3%
14
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 16 · P14
3%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 27 · P15
3%
16
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 50 · P20
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 41 · P12
2%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 16 · P17
2%
19
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 3 · P18
2%
20
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 50 · P21
2%
21
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 3 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%