live
./round-02

Chinese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Shanghai, China · 15 March 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:10 PM

predicted
George Russell
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✗ INCORRECT
./why RUS
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 19%
Tyre Degradation 11%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Driver Rating 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
RUS
George Russell
Car 84 · P2
10%
02
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 82 · P1
10%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 81 · P6
8%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 74 · P8
7%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 86 · P5
7%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 93 · P3
6%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 46 · P7
5%
08
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 50 · P9
5%
09
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 85 · P4
5%
10
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 36 · P10
4%
11
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 43 · P13
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 41 · P11
4%
13
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 29 · P11
3%
14
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 30 · P16
3%
15
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 32 · P19
3%
16
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 35 · P15
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 22 · P17
3%
18
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P14
3%
19
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 38 · P12
3%
20
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 57 · P18
2%
21
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 25 · P21
2%
22
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 43 · P20
1%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%