live
./round-03

Japanese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Suzuka, Japan · 29 March 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:11 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 21%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Driver Rating 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Win Rate 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P4
8%
02
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 73 · P1
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 92 · P6
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 78 · P2
7%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 89 · P3
7%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 79 · P11
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 78 · P5
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 43 · P7
5%
09
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 72 · P8
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 35 · P15
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 29 · P11
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 33 · P12
3%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 19 · P16
3%
14
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 46 · P13
3%
15
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 38 · P14
3%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 22 · P19
3%
17
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P10
3%
18
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 22 · P17
3%
19
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 25 · P18
3%
20
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P21
2%
21
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 26 · P9
2%
22
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 60 · P20
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%