live
./round-04

Miami Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Miami, USA · 3 May 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:13 PM

predicted
Kimi Antonelli
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✓ CORRECT
./why ANT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 18%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
10%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 91 · P3
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 93 · P6
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 91 · P5
8%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 78 · P2
7%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 84 · P4
7%
07
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 77 · P7
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P9
4%
09
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P12
4%
10
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 46 · P11
4%
11
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 35 · P10
4%
12
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 30 · P11
3%
13
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 34 · P8
3%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 32 · P13
3%
15
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 59 · P21
3%
16
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P15
3%
17
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 62 · P16
3%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 25 · P14
3%
19
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 29 · P19
3%
20
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 21 · P18
3%
21
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 40 · P17
2%
22
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 26 · P20
1%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%