live
./round-05

Canadian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Montréal, Canada · 24 May 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:14 PM

predicted
Kimi Antonelli
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✓ CORRECT
./why ANT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 84 · P2
10%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 93 · P5
9%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 83 · P1
8%
04
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 84 · P4
7%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 73 · P6
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 85 · P8
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 79 · P3
5%
08
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P9
5%
09
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 50 · P7
4%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 40 · P11
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 45 · P13
4%
12
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 28 · P14
4%
13
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 36 · P15
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 36 · P16
3%
15
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 56 · P18
3%
16
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 23 · P19
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 19 · P17
3%
18
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 31 · P12
3%
19
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 31 · P21
3%
20
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 43 · P11
2%
21
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 29 · P10
2%
22
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 41 · P20
1%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%