live
./round-06

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 7 June 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:16 PM

predicted
Kimi Antonelli
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✓ CORRECT
./why ANT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 30%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 9%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 6%
Long Run Pace 5%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 100 · P1
8%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 82 · P8
8%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 76 · P2
7%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 89 · P4
6%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 91 · P3
6%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 89 · P6
6%
07
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 76 · P7
5%
08
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 52 · P5
5%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 40 · P9
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 37 · P11
4%
11
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 32 · P12
4%
12
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 40 · P10
4%
13
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P20
4%
14
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 32 · P13
3%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 29 · P16
3%
16
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 28 · P18
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 23 · P11
3%
18
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 26 · P17
3%
19
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 18 · P19
3%
20
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P21
3%
21
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P14
3%
22
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 24 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%