live
./round-07

Barcelona Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 14 June 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:17 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Driver Rating 6%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Win Rate 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 92 · P2
9%
02
ANT
Kimi Antonelli
Car 73 · P3
8%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 79 · P1
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P10
7%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 89 · P7
7%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 78 · P5
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 78 · P4
7%
08
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 69 · P6
5%
09
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 34 · P9
4%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 43 · P13
4%
11
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P11
4%
12
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 34 · P15
4%
13
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 46 · P8
3%
14
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 34 · P12
3%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 29 · P16
3%
16
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P14
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 19 · P17
3%
18
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 25 · P18
3%
19
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 28 · P11
3%
20
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P21
2%
21
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 38 · P20
2%
22
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 22 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%