live
./round-09

British Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Silverstone, UK · 5 July 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:20 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 21%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Driver Rating 6%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Win Rate 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 93 · P3
9%
02
ANT
Kimi Antonelli
Car 88 · P1
9%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 81 · P4
7%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 84 · P2
7%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 78 · P6
6%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 72 · P7
6%
07
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 53 · P5
5%
08
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 33 · P13
5%
09
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 44 · P10
4%
10
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 83 · P8
4%
11
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 50 · P9
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 43 · P11
4%
13
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 29 · P11
4%
14
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 26 · P14
4%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 37 · P12
3%
16
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 34 · P16
3%
17
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 21 · P19
3%
18
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 29 · P18
3%
19
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 16 · P15
3%
20
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 30 · P17
3%
21
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 54 · P21
2%
22
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 38 · P20
1%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%