live
./round-10

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 19 July 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:22 PM

predicted
Kimi Antonelli
→
actual winner
Kimi Antonelli
✓ CORRECT
./why ANT
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 11%
Tyre Degradation 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Luck Factor 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ANT
Kimi Antonelli ✓ actual winner
Car 84 · P1
9%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 93 · P6
8%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 84 · P5
6%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 80 · P4
6%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 77 · P3
6%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 71 · P2
6%
07
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 82 · P7
6%
08
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 53 · P10
5%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 41 · P11
5%
10
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 44 · P11
5%
11
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 47 · P8
4%
12
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 28 · P9
4%
13
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 31 · P15
4%
14
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 29 · P12
4%
15
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 24 · P14
4%
16
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 52 · P20
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 35 · P13
3%
18
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 32 · P17
3%
19
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 13 · P16
3%
20
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 28 · P18
2%
21
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 19 · P19
2%
22
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 35 · P21
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%