live
./round-11

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 26 July 2026

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:23 PM

predicted
Kimi Antonelli
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why ANT
share of weighted score
Long Run Pace 20%
Car Performance 19%
Tyre Degradation 11%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
Luck Factor 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ANT
Kimi Antonelli
Car 72 · P4
9%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 92 · P2
9%
03
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 79 · P1
8%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 79 · P6
6%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 89 · P5
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P3
6%
07
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 71 · P8
6%
08
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 55 · P9
5%
09
RUS
George Russell
Car 80 · P7
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P11
5%
11
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 49 · P11
4%
12
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P15
4%
13
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 29 · P13
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 30 · P14
3%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 34 · P10
3%
16
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 34 · P17
3%
17
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 16 · P16
2%
18
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 21 · P20
2%
19
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 20 · P18
2%
20
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 33 · P12
2%
21
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 25 · P21
2%
22
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 38 · P19
1%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%