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./round-04 · sprint prediction

Miami Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Miami, USA · 2 May 2026

Model: sprint-v2 · Computed: 6/28/2026, 7:46:11 AM

predicted
George Russell
→
actual sprint winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why RUS
share of weighted score
Car Performance 32%
Adj. Grid Position 27%
Driver Rating 11%
Short Run Pace 11%
Weather Impact 5%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
SQ vs Teammate 4%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
RUS
George Russell
Car 100 · P6
11%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 94 · P4
10%
03
ANT
Kimi Antonelli
Car 100 · P2
10%
04
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ sprint winner
Car 60 · P1
9%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 94 · P7
7%
06
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 60 · P3
7%
07
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 58 · P5
7%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 60 · P10
4%
09
COL
Franco Colapinto
Car 60 · P8
4%
10
HAD
Isack Hadjar
Car 58 · P9
3%
11
BEA
Oliver Bearman
Car 39 · P12
3%
12
BOR
Gabriel Bortoleto
Car 26 · P11
3%
13
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 26 · P11
3%
14
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 28 · P13
3%
15
LAW
Liam Lawson
Car 50 · P14
2%
16
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 50 · P19
2%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 39 · P15
2%
18
LIN
Arvid Lindblad
Car 50 · P21
2%
19
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 28 · P17
2%
20
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 50 · P20
2%
21
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 4 · P16
2%
22
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 4 · P18
1%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted sprint order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./sprint weights
Car Performance 25%
Adj. Grid Position 25%
Short Run Pace 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Weather Impact 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 8%
SQ vs Teammate 6%