./prediction
2026 Race Predictions
weighted-v3 · 19 predictions · 58% accuracy
./season model ratings
Rank
Driver
Score
./prediction history
P1 Hit: 58%
Top 3 Hit: 89%
Top 5 Hit: 100%
Brier: 0.471
14
Spanish Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: ANT
correct
13
Italian Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: ANT
correct
12
Dutch Grand Prix
Predicted: HAM · Actual: NOR · model had them P2
wrong
12
Dutch Grand Prix sprint
Predicted: RUS · Actual: RUS
correct
11
Hungarian Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: NOR · model had them P3
wrong
10
Belgian Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: ANT
correct
09
British Grand Prix
Predicted: HAM · Actual: LEC · model had them P4
wrong
09
British Grand Prix sprint
Predicted: RUS · Actual: ANT · model had them P2
wrong
08
Austrian Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: RUS · model had them P3
wrong
07
Barcelona Grand Prix
Predicted: HAM · Actual: HAM
correct
06
Monaco Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: ANT
correct
05
Canadian Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: ANT
correct
05
Canadian Grand Prix sprint
Predicted: RUS · Actual: RUS
correct
04
Miami Grand Prix
Predicted: ANT · Actual: ANT
correct
04
Miami Grand Prix sprint
Predicted: RUS · Actual: NOR · model had them P4
wrong
03
Japanese Grand Prix
Predicted: LEC · Actual: ANT · model had them P2
wrong
02
Chinese Grand Prix
Predicted: RUS · Actual: ANT · model had them P2
wrong
02
Chinese Grand Prix sprint
Predicted: RUS · Actual: RUS
correct
01
Australian Grand Prix
Predicted: RUS · Actual: RUS
correct
./calibration
19 completed races · Brier 0.471 · dot size ∝ races · dashed line = perfect calibration
./accuracy by season 2026 recap →
Season
GP
Sprint
Overall
2026
8/14(57%)
3/5(60%)
11/19 (58%)
2025
9/24(38%)
3/6(50%)
12/30 (40%)
2024
7/24(29%)
4/6(67%)
11/30 (37%)
2023
18/22(82%)
4/6(67%)
22/28 (79%)
2022
13/22(59%)
2/3(67%)
15/25 (60%)
2021
7/22(32%)
2/3(67%)
9/25 (36%)
2020
11/17(65%)
—
11/17 (65%)
2019
9/21(43%)
—
9/21 (43%)
2018
9/21(43%)
—
9/21 (43%)